Physicians: Medical Staff Development Plan

Physician Demand/Supply
Blair County Service Area

Note: As physicians retire or relocate from the area, the health system needs to reassess its strategic direction in collaboration with the leadership of the particular practice to determine need for replacement of physicians at that time. Reasons for replacement would be practice patient load, physician coverage, expanded/extended physician coverage to outlying areas/hospitals and under-served areas, etc.

	Current (2005)				Future (2010)
	Demand	Supply	Need/ (Surplus)	% of Demand	Demand	Supply	Need/ (Surplus)	% of Demand
Primary Care
General & Family Practice	21.7	46.30	(24.6)	-113%	21.7	38.3	(16.6)	-77%
Internal Medicine	29.2	25.80	3.4	12%	29.7	23.6	6.1	21%
Pediatrics	19.1	19.65	(0.5)	-3%	17.9	14.6	3.4	19%
Obstetrics & Gynecology	12.8	17.00	(4.2)	-33%	12.7	14.6	(1.9)	-15%
Subtotal	82.8	108.75	(26.0)	-31%	82.0	91.0	(9.0)	-11%
Specialists Internal Medicine Subspecialties
Allergy/Immunology	1.7	2.00	(0.3)	-19%	1.7	1.0	0.7	41%
Cardiology	10.2	10.50	(0.3)	-3%	10.5	10.0	0.5	4%
Dermatology	5.5	3.60	1.9	35%	5.6	2.6	3.0	53%
Gastroenterology	5.1	7.20	(2.1)	-42%	5.2	7.2	(2.0)	-39%
Hematology/Oncology	2.0	4.20	(2.2)	-113%	2.0	3.2	(1.2)	-61%
Nephrology	1.0	3.90	(2.9)	-280%	1.0	3.0	(2.0)	-199%
Neurology	3.4	5.60	(2.2)	-66%	3.6	5.6	(2.0)	-57%
Physical Medicine & Rehab	2.3	4.90	(2.6)	-111%	2.3	4.9	(2.6)	-110%
Psychiatry	11.3	12.70	(1.4)	-12%	11.4	8.0	3.5	30%
Pulmonary	2.8	4.20	(1.4)	-49%	3.0	4.2	(1.2)	-39%
Rheumatology	1.8	5.00	(3.2)	-174%	1.9	5.0	(3.1)	-168%
Endocrinology	1.5	3.00	(1.5)	-102%	1.5	3.0	(1.5)	-106%
Infectious Diseases	0.9	1.00	(0.1)	-12%	0.9	1.0	(0.1)	-15%
Subtotal	49.5	67.80	(18.3)	-37%	50.4	58.6	(8.2)	-16%
Surgical Specialties
Cardiovascular Surgery	1.2	2.00	(0.8)	-69%	1.2	2.0	(0.8)	-72%
General Surgery (incl. VS, TS, TR)	8.6	15.90	(7.3)	-84%	8.8	10.9	(2.1)	-24%
Neurosurgery	1.6	2.70	(1.1)	-68%	1.6	1.8	(0.2)	-14%
Ophthalmology	8.3	8.04	0.2	3%	8.4	5.2	3.2	38%
Orthopedic Surgery	9.0	13.61	(4.6)	-52%	9.1	12.1	(3.0)	-33%
Otolaryngology	3.1	4.33	(1.2)	-38%	3.2	2.0	1.2	37%
Plastic Surgery	3.0	0.80	2.2	73%	3.1	0.8	2.3	74%
Urology	4.9	3.00	1.9	39%	5.1	3.0	2.1	41%
Subtotal	39.7	50.38	(10.6)	-27%	40.4	37.8	2.6	6%
Total All	172.0	226.93	(55.0)	-32%	172.8	187.41	(14.5)	-8%